Helps you quickly check all the day's trends in combination with the bookmaker's line. You immediately see what trends exist and for which ones the bookmaker's odds are value. Save a ton of time when searching for a match for detailed analysis.
This tool is available as part of the PRO subscription, learn more about paid subscriptions
How Daily Statistical Analysis Works
Daily Analysis is a proprietary tool developed by the 4SCORE team of tipsters. When searching for matches for totals analysis, it is often necessary to see the trends of all teams at once, moreover in conjunction with bookmaker odds, i.e., to quickly understand where the odds are higher than they should be according to the statistical trend. It immediately becomes obvious which matches are worth taking for analysis.
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Essence of the Tool
When you request a daily statistical analysis, the system takes all matches being played today, calculates the over/under trend for each of them across all metric values, calculates the probability, and then compares it with the bookmaker's odds.
We take each match and calculate the total trend for each metric value. For each match, a statistical trend for over and under 1, 2, 3, and so on is compiled, across all possible values. We take 20 matches for each team for the trend.
We calculate the probability for each trend. This probability is statistical and easily converted into bookmaker odds, meaning for each match, for each value, we calculate the statistical value odds.
We compare the statistical odds and the actual odds from the line. If the statistical odds are lower than the actual odds, there is a high chance that the bookmaker's odds are value and do not correspond to the teams' statistics.
We show it all to you. In a single convenient table containing only those matches for which a value odds was found based on statistics, so you can immediately pay attention to a specific match.
Let's look at the example above (synthetic data). In it, based on the results of the corners analysis, the system found the match "Freiburg-Bologna", for which it highlighted two trends. We will analyze the first one, "Total Corners Under 8.5" (first row).
The statistical probability of the bet winning was calculated. The system took the teams' previous matches and determined that "Total Corners Under 8.5" wins in 52.63% of cases, meaning the value odds are 1.9.
The bookmaker's odds were found, which are 2.3. The system recalculated them into probability (using the formula p = 1/k), and found that the probability according to the bookmaker is 43.47%.
The statistical probability is 21.07% higher than the bookmaker's probability. That is, according to the statistics, the odds are value. Based on this, the system included the row in the report.
For 9.5 (the second row), the system performed identical calculations. Attention! The data in the screenshot is synthetic; we made it up to illustrate the system's operation, but the tool works with real data.
Thus, the tool will show all odds for the day that are currently value based on statistics.
How to Access Daily Analysis
Right on the main page of 4SCORE, in the navigation tile, there is a link to the "Daily Analysis" section.
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Specify Filter Values
Filters will help you customize the report to find the needed matches. First, select the market and the bookmaker where to search for value odds based on statistics, then use the filters to refine the criteria:
Leagues. You can select a list of leagues whose matches the system will include in the report, so you don't get distracted by championships and matches that don't interest you.
Date. Select which day to generate the report for. Reports are available for two days ahead. The filter includes a seemingly useless "yesterday" — this is needed to retrospectively assess data completeness without purchasing a subscription.
Odds. In which range of bookmaker odds to search. If specified, only rows where the bookmaker's odds fall within the specified range will be included in the report.
ROI. This is the percentage difference between the statistical probability and the probability derived from the bookmaker's odds. The higher it is, the more interesting the bet might be (the bookmaker's odds are higher than the statistically calculated one by a larger percentage).
Sum or Individual Total. How to search for the trend — by the teams' sum total and among the odds on the sum total, or by individual total, and accordingly, the odds on the individual total.
All, Home and Away. Which matches of the participating teams to take for building the statistical trend — any, or only home matches for the home team and away matches for the away team, when each match is being analyzed.
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Get the Report
The system will analyze the entire matchday (that's thousands of matches, as dozens of previous matches are analyzed for each match of the day) and produce a report.